California Demographics

Goals

To gain a better understanding of how the demographics are shifting in California, and what the overall population is projected to look in the next 10 years

Early Findings

California’s projected population for 2030 is 44.1 million, with growth rates just under 1%.

The gender split will be approximately equal, with 22 million women and 22 million men.

Immigrants are projected to make up 27% of the state’s population in 2030.

While immigration created a large amount of population growth prior to 1990, most of the state’s growth now comes from excess of birth over deaths (natural increase) as international migration has been canceled out by many of these migrants moving to other areas of the US (domestic migration loss).

In 2018, California had the slowest population growth in state history, due to declining birthrates and economic strain causing some to move elsewhere.

While coastal cities are still expected to be home to the majority of the state population, inland areas will continue to experience faster population growth rates.

It is projected for 2030 that the Latino population will comprise 43% of the state population, and the population will be only 34% white.

Asian immigration will also continue to increase, already having outgrown the rate of Latin American immigrants moving to the state each year.

Asian immigrants will contribute to the education level of the state, with over half of newly arrived immigrants from Asia ages 25 to 64 holding a bachelor’s degree, vs. one-third of US born Californians.

The number of senior citizens will also increase by 2030, with the amount of white senior citizens anticipated to increase by 45% by 2030, Latino seniors to grow by 140%.

The number of children is not anticipated to grow as rapidly, with it predicted that between 2014-2024, the number of children in public schools would not change.

Proposed next steps:

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