Wonder

Research Outline

Prepared for Seena G. | Delivered September 27, 2019

Chicago Gun Violence Statistics

Goals

To obtain statistics on gun violence in Chicago from original sources to show where violence is getting better and where it is getting worse (basically, how the gun violence statistics compare for the years 2017 and 2019) for the purposes of creating a presentation for an event.

Early Findings

Preliminary research shows it is not possible to compare gun violence rates in 2019 with gun violence rates for previous years in Chicago because the numbers for 2019 have not been released. However, it is possible to compare numbers between 2016 and 2018 to establish trends.
OVERALL STATISTICSIn 2018, there were 55 criminal murder incidents due to gun violence in Chicago, down from 67 in 2017 and 73 in 2016, a two-year decrease of 24.66% (a year-over-year (YoY) decrease of 17.91%).
In 2018, there were 3,550 robberies with a firearm in Chicago, down from 4,607 in 2017 and 4,820 in 2016, a two-year decrease of 26.35% (a YoY decrease of 22.94%). 
In 2018, there were 3,622 aggravated assault with a firearm in Chicago, down from 3,629 in 2017 and 3,976 in 2016, a two-year decrease of 8.90% (a YoY decrease of 0.19%).
In 2018, there were 10 incidents of domestic aggravated battery with a firearm in Chicago, down from 13 incidents in 2017 and 39 in 2016, a two-year decrease of 74.36% (a YoY decrease of 23.08%).
In 2018, there were 2,457 incidents of non-domestic aggravated battery with a firearm in Chicago, down from 2,775 in 2017 and 3,523 in 2016 a two-year decrease of 30.26% (a YoY decrease of 11.46%).
In 2018, 475 victims of criminal homicide died of a gunshot wound, which was 84.07% of all criminal homicide incidents. Yet, this was a decrease from the 604 victims of criminal homicide who died of a gunshot wound in 2017, representing 91.52% of all incidents and 691 in 2016, representing 89.86% of all incidents.
DAY OF THE WEEK STATSIn both 2017 and 2018, Sunday was the worst day of the week for shootings, with 549 and 473 shootings respectively. This is a decrease of 18.31%.
Saturday was the second-worst day of the week for shootings in both years with 474 incidents in 2017 and 432 incidents in 2018, a decrease of 8.86%. 
All days of the week saw fewer shootings in 2018 than in 2017, but the smallest decrease was on Saturdays. 
DISTRICT 1Shooting statistics for District 1 are the following:
2016: 19 
2017: 15 (-21.05% YoY)
2018: 21 (+40.00% YoY, and +10.50% over two years)
District 1 is getting worse for gun violence. 
DISTRICT 2Shooting statistics for District 2 are the following:
2016: 138 
2017: 113 (-18.12% YoY)
2018: 96 (-15.04% YoY, -30.43% over two years)
District 2 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 3Shooting statistics for District 3 are the following:
2016: 213 
2017: 189 (-11.27% YoY)
2018: 154 (-18.52% YoY, -27.70 over two years)
District 3 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 4Shooting statistics for District 4 are the following:
2016: 160 
2017: 166 (+3.75% YoY)
2018: 112 (-32.12% YoY, -30.00% over two years)
District 4 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 5Shooting statistics for District 5 are the following:
2016: 230 
2017: 165 (-28.26 YoY)
2018: 196 (+20.25% YoY, -14.78 over two years)
Even though there was a significant increase in gun violence in District 5 over the past year, it is still better than it was in 2016.
DISTRICT 6Shooting statistics for District 6 are the following:
2016: 234 
2017: 196 (-16.24% YoY)
2018: 186 (-5.10% YoY, -20.51% over two years)
District 6 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 7Shooting statistics for District 7 are the following:
2016: 358 
2017: 204 (-43.02% YoY)
2018: 188 (-7.84% YoY, -47.49% over two years)
District 7 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 8Shooting statistics for District 8 are the following:
2016: 190 
2017: 156 (-17.89%, YoY)
2018: 117 (-25.00% YoY, -38.42% over two years)
District 8 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 9Shooting statistics for District 9 are the following:
2016: 242 
2017: 164 (-32.23% YoY)
2018: 133 (-18.90% YoY, -45.04% over two years)
District 9 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 10Shooting statistics for District 10 are the following:
2016: 289 
2017: 241 (-16.61% YoY)
2018: 173 (-28.22 YoY, -40.14% over two years)
District 10 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 11Shooting statistics for District 11 are the following:
2016: 478 
2017: 353 (-26.15% YoY)
2018: 340 (-3.68% YoY, -28.87% over two years)
District 11 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 12Shooting statistics for District 12 are the following:
2016: 136 
2017: 121 (-11.03% YoY)
2018: 87 (-28.10% YoY, -36.03% over two years)
District 12 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 14Shooting statistics for District 14 are the following:
2016: 68 
2017: 61 (-10.29% YoY)
2018: 64 (+4.92% YoY, -5.88% over two years)
Even though there was a slight increase in gun violence in District 14 over the past year, it is still better than it was in 2016.
DISTRICT 15Shooting statistics for District 15 are the following:
2016: 312 
2017: 253 (-18.91 YoY)
2018: 185 (-26.88% YoY, -40.71% over two years)
District 15 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 16Shooting statistics for District 16 are the following:
2016: 21 
2017: 21 (0.00% YoY)
2018: 19 (-9.52% YoY, -9.52% over two years)
District 16 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 17Shooting statistics for District 17 are the following:
2016: 35 
2017: 21 (-40.00% YoY)
2018: 46 (+119.05% YoY, +31.43% over two years)
District 17 is getting worse for gun violence.
DISTRICT 18Shooting statistics for District 18 are the following:
2016: 19 
2017: 17 (-10.53% YoY)
2018: 19 (+11.76% YoY, 0.00% over two years)
District 18 is getting worse for gun violence.
DISTRICT 19Shooting statistics for District 19 are the following:
2016: 44 
2017: 24 (-45.45% YoY)
2018: 19 (-20.83% YoY, -56.82% over two years)
District 19 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 20Shooting statistics for District 20 are the following:
2016: 17 
2017: 10 (-41.18% YoY)
2018: 9 (-10.00% YoY, -47.06% over two years)
District 20 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 22Shooting statistics for District 22 are the following:
2016: 121 
2017: 98 (-19.01% YoY)
2018: 82 (-16.33% YoY, -32.23% over two years)
District 22 is getting better for gun violence.
DISTRICT 24Shooting statistics for District 24 are the following:
2016: 50 
2017: 26 (-48.00% YoY)
2018: 33 (+26.92% YoY, -34.00% over two years)
Even though there was a significant increase in gun violence in District 24 over the past year, it is still better than it was in 2016.
DISTRICT 25Shooting statistics for District 25 are the following:
2016: 176 
2017: 168 (-4.55% YoY)
2018: 109 (-34.34% YoY, -38.07% over two years)
District 25 is getting better for gun violence
There are no districts 13, 21, or 23 in Chicago.
ANALYSISDistricts 1 (+40.00% YoY, and +10.50% over two years) and 17 (+119.05% YoY, +31.43% over two years) are the only two districts that have an increase in gun violence over two years, with District 17 being the worst.
Districts 5 (+20.25% YoY, -14.78 over two years), 14 (+4.92% YoY, -5.88% over two years), 18 (+11.76% YoY, 0.00% over two years), and 24 (+26.92% YoY, -34.00% over two years) all had increased gun violence rates between 2017 and 2018, but still had lower rates overall since 2016. 
All other districts had decreased gun violence rates between 2016 and 2018, with District 19 seeing the most improvement (-56.82% over two years). District 7 is in second place (-47.49% over two years) and District 20 is in third place (-47.06% over two years). 